THE WORLD BANK
30 January 2008
Brown-Bag Seminar
LIFE AFTER UNIVERSAL PRIMARY?
SCALING SCHOOLING FOR THE SECONDARY SURGE
Frances Ferreira, Asha Kanwar and John Daniel Commonwealth of Learning
Introduction
It is a great pleasure to be back here almost exactly a year after my last visit. I am sorry that Ruth Kagia and some other colleagues are travelling but I thank Jamil Salmi for giving me the opportunity to make two presentations on work at the Commonwealth of Learning, which I shall call COL. I understand that both themes are topical for you. Today the issue is expanding secondary education, tomorrow it will be the renewal and strengthening of African universities.
Today my title is Life after Universal Primary: Scaling Schooling for the Secondary Surge. At COL we like alliteration!
I pay tribute to my collaborators, Frances Ferreira, who is our Open Schooling Specialist, and Asha Kanwar our Vice President and Programme Director.
This presentation, and the study that I shall report, arose directly out of my visit last year. When Jamil Salmi and Rick Hopper visited COL in the fall of 2006 they commented that our work on open schooling might be particularly interesting to the Bank. We therefore talked about it to you when I presented a brown-bag seminar with my colleague Mohan Menon here last year.
The general conclusion of that discussion was that open schooling has potential for addressing the challenge of increasing access to secondary education now that Universal Primary Education is on the way to being achieved.
Having been at UNESCO when the Fast-Track Initiative for UPE was launched, let me say what a pleasure it is to pay tribute to the way that your FTI Secretariat here, working with the donors and partners, have made it into such a success.
But success creates its own challenges and coping with the rapid increase in demand for access to secondary schooling after UPE is a real problem for countries that are still struggling to create the infrastructure for primary education.
Last year you agreed that open schooling might be part of the answer but told us that before the Bank can invest in a new approach there has to be a solid body of research data about its effectiveness and efficiency.
It is a fact that far less evaluation and research has been done on open schooling than on open and distance learning in tertiary education.
So when we came away from last year's meeting COL decided it would make a start on the research agenda.
We zeroed in on two open schools in rather different environments, the National Institute for Open Schooling (NIOS) in India and the Namibian College of Open Learning (NAMCOL), and commissioned research on their costs and effectiveness. The work was done by two well-known experts on cost studies, Badri Koul and Greville Rumble, who were already very familiar with the contexts in India and Namibia respectively.
Their 250-page report is available on the COL website at http://www.col.org/colweb/site/pid/4974 and I have handed out a brochure that summarises it.
In this presentation I shall weave the key results of this research into a general presentation on open schooling. My hope is that Bank colleagues will now take this research much further and create a solid basis for helping governments invest in this approach.
So my plan is to set the context, define open schooling, outline its development, summarise the results of the studies in India and Namibia and draw some conclusions about policy.
The Context: Expanding Secondary Schooling
I start with the context, which is well known to you.
Twenty years down the road three quarters of the world's population will be in Asia, Africa and the Middle-East. All areas that have struggled to provide education to their people.
Already half of the world's population is under 20 and there are two billion teenagers in the developing world. This young population, if given adequate education and training can become a huge human resource asset. Many African countries have launched major initiatives to introduce free primary education. What happens when students graduate from elementary school? Can the existing secondary schools absorb the large numbers? Of the 118% Gross Enrolment Ratio (GER) at the primary level in Uganda, only 41 % survive to the last primary grade. (Global Education Digest, 2006, UIS) Of these only 16% can be absorbed in the secondary school system. When Kenya introduced free primary education in 2003, 1.5 million out-of-school children entered the 18,000 schools, which were bursting at the seams. (http://www.aegis.com/news/afp/2006/AF060427.html). While 73% survive elementary education, the GER at the secondary level is 48%. What are the options for the rest?
Far too few of them are receiving a secondary education. This means that we cannot forget about secondary education once youngsters reach their late teens. As well as the challenge of educating teenagers there is the challenge of providing useful education and training to the young and not so young adults who missed the opportunity when they were younger.
While the world average for secondary school enrolment is 65%, the GER in SSA is 30%, which is up from 19% in 1990/91. (At the Crossroads: Choices for secondary education and training in SSA, World Bank: Africa Human Development Department, 2007, p.4) Access remains inequitable especially in rural areas with girls being particularly disadvantaged. As governments stretch their resources to make progress towards Universal Primary Education (MDG 2) by 2015, it is unlikely that expansion of secondary provision will be a key priority. And even if one new secondary school was to be built every month for the next ten years, the increased demand will not be met. What choices do policy makers have?
In its report 'At the Crossroads' the World Bank proposes a strategy that is
...parsimonious in resource use, recognizes the bottom-up sequential nature of education development, is closely aligned with national development priorities, anticipates labour market demand, strengthens school autonomy, ensures effective central direction and support, and builds public-private partnerships.... (p.28)
The Bank itself has undertaken analytical studies to underpin national policy and planning in support of secondary education through its instruments such as the Country Assistance Strategies and PRSPs. The growing sector of private provision is seen as a potential solution. Distance and open learning is seem as 'alternative pathways to learning and certification' (p.20) and while open schooling is mentioned, it is not projected as a major option.
However, we must realise that private provision, however helpful, is unlikely to reach the more disadvantaged, although it would be interesting to see if the International Finance Corporation (IFC) could encourage the development of private provision of open schooling at scale, including transnational open schooling.
Furthermore, we cannot forget about secondary education after youngsters reach their late teens. As well as the challenge of educating teenagers there is the challenge of providing useful education and training to young and not so young adults who missed the opportunity for it when they were younger. There are plenty of them because the drop-out at successive stages of the educational process is alarming. These figures from Africa show some pretty dismal survival rates to the last primary grade and low gross enrolment rates in secondary in the sub-Saharan region.
This cohort study shows the same thing. 93 out of a hundred children enter primary school but only 12 complete senior secondary education.
What is Open Schooling?
That is the context. What can open schooling do to help meet the challenge? First, what exactly is open schooling?
Its features are the physical separation of learner from the teacher for much of the time; the use of unconventional teaching methodologies, and information and communications technologies (ICTs); and in general a flexible approach. We call it open schooling rather than open and distance schooling because openness and flexibility are more important features than physical separation.
In the context I have described open schooling is a response to the rapidly increasing demand for secondary education, both as an end itself and as a route to tertiary, because it can be conducted at scale and cost-effectively.
Its flexibility also makes it suitable for young adults who need further schooling but either cannot, or do not wish to return to the conventional classroom.
How is open schooling conducted? It uses self-instructional materials and, indeed, the preparation of such materials also provides an asset to the conventional school system, which in developing countries is usually short of materials. Students get local personal support at Study Centres, which at secondary school level are relatively more important than they might be at tertiary level. Organising the networks of study centres provides opportunities for partnerships with other state networks or with NGOs with a special interest in children and young adults. Finally, there is the opportunity to operate at scale and to use new information and communication technologies as they become locally available.
The Development of Open Schooling
Before moving on to the examples of India and Namibia, let me say a word about how open schooling developed. First, this is not a new phenomenon.
Open schooling by correspondence goes back a hundred years in the industrialised world and nearly 50 years in Africa.
This also applied to the use of technology. School radio began 75 years ago in Britain, the Australian School of the Air is half a century old and projects using technology for schooling in Africa have a similar history. Some of these projects aim to enrich the classroom experience rather than create a substitute for it, but as I noted, flexibility and complementarity are an important feature of open schooling. Note also that some open schools operate at very considerable scale which is, of course, an element of cost-effectiveness where it can be achieved.
There are various organisational models of open schools - and sometimes one evolves into another, as in the case of Namibia and India. Some are independent, some are branches of open universities, some are run by central ministries of education, and some by school boards. This is another element of flexibility for policy makers.
Open Schooling in India and Namibia
Let me turn now to our study, which looked at the open schools in India and Namibia.
The National Institute of Open Schooling, formerly the National Open School, is headquartered in Delhi with regional centres in 11 cities and a presence in Nepal, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates. Study centres are provided by 3,000 accredited institutions which register students, supply study materials, provide tutorial support, handle assignments, hold exams and distribute certificates.
NAMCOL, the Namibian College of Open Learning is headquartered in Windhoek and HQs in Windhoek has 110 study centres in the country's 13 political regions as well as two computer-based learning centres in Windhoek & Ongewediva. It accounts for some 18% of the secondary school population and a much higher proportion at senior secondary (true?).At JSC level NAMCOL's contribution is 11%, while at Senior Secondary it is 49 %( pg 179). Most of its students are female.
This chart shows some comparative statistics for the two institutions, the gaps in the table providing a reminder that there has been little research on open schools. Nevertheless, these are significant operations in terms of their numbers.
These figures for the enrolments in India show that the focus is mainly on academic programmes although at the moment much more emphasis is being placed on developing vocational programming.
The figures for Namibia show, as I just noted, that NAMCOL plays a very significant role at senior secondary, where 48% of the senior secondary students who sit their end-of school examinations are enrolled at NAMCOL.
Comparing the learner profiles reveals both similarities and differences. Both institutions recruit students in the age range 15-25 but the gender balances are mirror images of each other. Few NAMCOL students have paid work, but a significant minority is involved in other educational courses.
This chart shows that NAMCOL's results are pretty good, with around 90% of students who complete most of the course getting grades.
Looking at it the other way around and adding up drop-outs and incompletes gives an attrition that varies around 20%, which is good for this kind of education.
With these figures in mind the cost per student at NAMCOL is very attractive at about 20% of the cost in the formal system.
Perhaps reflecting on the scale of NIOS, the figures in India are even more impressive. Unit costs are less than 10% of those of the conventional central schools.
The effectiveness of NIOS is also good. Taking a snap shot of four sittings in 2005/6, the majority of the conventional Boards have a throughput at Secondary Level that averages between 40-60%, while NIOS has a throughput of 58%. At Senior Secondary level the majority of the Boards have a throughput between 60-80% while the figure for NIOS is 61%.
Conclusions
Let me conclude. As I said at the outset, open schooling is an area crying out for more research. The problem is not just the poor data on open schools, but the poor data on secondary school systems generally, which makes comparisons of outcomes very difficult. We are a long way from having a PISA study on open schools!
However, in the real world we often have to make decisions without all the data that we might like. Our study shows that open schooling can address the challenges of increased demand and reach out to diverse target groups: from older secondary-school-age children to young adults.
Open schooling is significantly more cost-efficient than formal education and can have high retention rates approaching 90%. Moreover the production of learning materials in print, audio, CD-ROMS and video creates an asset for the whole school system not just the open school. This is very important, especially with the HIV -AIDS pandemic, where countries cannot afford substitute teachers, the use of distance learning material is an excellent way not to disrupt the learning process.
In terms of its impact, open schooling is a powerful way of addressing issues of equity and social justice since it can bring the formerly excluded into the schooling system. It is also a vehicle for ramping up the proportion of technical and vocational education and training in the school system as a whole and for fostering innovation generally. For example, it is the open schools that have pioneered the idea of exams on demand at the secondary level.
Policy Lessons
What lessons does the study teach us?
First it shows that political will is necessary to make open schooling an integral part of a national education system and that this political will needs to express itself in the form of enabling policy and planning. Open schooling is a system that derives its benefits from scale. It cannot be improvised on the back of an envelope as a small pilot project. It follows that adequate human, financial and technical resources are critical to success and need to be planned. The economic model is that a higher upfront investment pays off in lower operating costs once the system is running.
Next, just as tertiary institutions embarking on open and distance learning need to train their staff to operate a different pedagogy and teaching/learning system, so staff from conventional schools must be trained in the special requirements of open schooling. Much of COL's work with NIOS has been in support of training for its many thousands of tutors and facilitators.
The principal area needing attention is learner support. In fact, open schooling shares this imperative with open and distance learning at all levels. For example, COL has just completed a study of tertiary level open and distance education in Papua New Guinea, which also reached the conclusion that improving student support was the key priority for improving the system. Investment in learner support should be approached from the angle of staff development.
Finally - and this is really a great opportunity - creating an open school provides the opportunity for partnerships with a range of local governmental and non-governmental bodies. These can be true win-win affairs. The open school acquires a regional and local network of centres while the local bodies are enabled to provide more extensive services to the youngsters that they are caring for.
The Commonwealth of Learning will continue to make the promotion and support of open schooling a key plank of its work. We are also supporting the development of open educational resources for use in open schools.
But COL is a tiny agency. The purpose of my visit, and of commissioning this study, is to encourage the World Bank to take open schooling seriously as a policy option for expanding secondary education. We hope that you will commission the type of research that you need in order to proceed with confidence.
This is not just a matter of supporting new open school projects. Many African countries, such as Malawi, Zambia, Kenya and Tanzania have had forms of open schooling for years but they have tended to operate in a grey zone below the radar. Were the Bank to encourage governments to give open schooling a larger place in their secondary education policy considerable benefits could flow without large expenditures of funds.
Thank you